November 23, 2004

Natural Increase Question

Hi,

A student called me looking for the natural increase for Calgary and Winnipeg. I think they were referred by someone at reference. I just thought I'd explain how I found it.

Natural increase is births minus deaths (in other words, without anyone moving out or moving into a geography, how would the population have changed by "natural increase").

Statistics Canada publishes "Annual Demographic Statistics" which is online pdf or in the reference collection (HA 741 A6) Stat Can catalogue number 91-213. So for 2001-2002 this data can be found in the 2003 volume at Table 2.2 on page 104. (FYI, Calgary's natural increase was 6,993 and Winnipeg's was 1960). We had close to the same amount of deaths, but Calgary had way more births. So get busy.

How did I figure out to look in Annual Demographic Statistics? If you didn't know, you could go to the Statistics Canada web site - If you first try searching for natural increase, you can thrash around for a while - then come up with something called "Preliminary Estimates of Population for Census Divisions and Census Metropolitan Areas". I did a search on that in quotations, and came up with a Daily article from Nov 18, 2004 that gave the CANSIM table numbers (which you could get from E-Stat) and gave a reference to the Annual Demographic Statistics.

From there you can look up Annual Demographic Statistics in the catalogue - there is no reference to the online version (I've asked Lorna to add it), but if you want to find it online you need to go to the "index of downloadable statistics canada publications" and search for it (easiest way is by STC number - 91-213).

Posted by hunt-k at November 23, 2004 11:20 AM